Imaginations and expectations in images of the future
stmm. 2025 (1): 105-138
DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.01.105
Full text:
MYKOLA SHULGA, Corresponding member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor, Principal Research Fellow at the Department of Social Psychology, Institute of Sociology, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (12, Shovkovychna St., Kyiv, 01021)
chebrec@gmail.com
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7763-7195
Without understanding what time is, what its types are, it is impossible to understand our expectations about the future. Therefore, first of all, the article considers time as a specific phenomenon, discusses the idea of the future time, and also examines the features of future social time, in particular the future in the future, the future in the present and the future in the past. The ideas of what will be ahead take the form of images of the future. It is analyzed what images of the future are by the level of reliability, by the generalized content of possible events, by the time horizon. The fundamental differences between images of the distant and near future are considered. It is shown that the main elements of images of the distant future are imaginations, and images of the near future are expectations.
Keywords: time, social time, future, images of the future, scenarios, narratives, predictions, forecasts, experience, expectations, imaginations
References
Ahvenharjua, S., Minkkinena, M., Lalotb, F. (2018). The five dimensions of futures consciousness. Futures, 104, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.06.010
Anguera, C., Santisteban, A. (2016). images of the future: perspectives of students from Barcelona. Journal of Futures Studies, 21(1), 1-18.
Anderson, B. (2001). Imagined Communities. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: KRYTYKA.
Appadurai, A., Marco, A., Sassatelli, R. (2013). The future as cultural fact: Essays on the global condition. Rassegna Italiana di Sociologia, 54(4), 651-673.
Augustine, G., Soderstrom, S., Milner, D., Weber, K. (2019). constructing a distant future: Imaginaries in geoengineering. Academy of Management Journal. 62, 6. https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2018.0059
Baumeister, R.F., Hofmann, W., Summerville, A., Reiss, P.T., Vohs, K.D. (2020). Everyday thoughts about the past, present, and future: Experience sampling studies of mental time travel. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 46 (12), 1631-1648. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167220908411
Bazzani, G. (2022). Futures in action: Expectations, imaginaries and narratives of the future. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221138010
Beckert, J. (2013). Imagined futures: Fictional expectations in the economy. Theory and Society, 42(3), 219-240. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/43694686 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11186-013-9191-2
Berger, P.L., Luckmann, T. (1966). The Social Construction of Reality. A Treatise on sociology of Knowledge. Penguin Books.
Bertilsson, M. (2002). The rebirth of nature: implications for the category social. [In Russian]. Sotsiologicheskie Issledovania, 9, 130.
Braudel, F. (1994). A History of Civilizations. Viking Adult.
Brown, N., Michael, M. (2003). A Sociology of expectations: Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management,15(1), 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0953732032000046024
Bootz, J.-P. (2010). Strategic foresight and organizational learning: A survey and critical analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1588-1594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.015
Criticism of the Concept of Sustainable Development. Retrieved from: http://planetaryproject.com/planet_project/critical/
Crow, G., McKie, L., Scott, J. (2023). Historical Perspectives on British Sociology's Future: An Interview with John Scott. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221107490
Cruz, F. (2024). Comment: The failure of the sustainable development goals. Retrieved from: https://www.globalsociety.earth/post/comment-the-failure-of-the-sustainable-development-goals
Dator, J. (2014). Four images of the future. Set: Research Information for Teachers, 1, 61-63. https://doi.org/10.18296/set.0319
Delanty, G. (2021). Futures of sustainability: Perspectives on social imaginaries and social transformation. A comment on Frank Adloff and Sighard Neckel's research program. Social Science Information, 60(2), 285-294. https://doi.org/10.1177/0539018421999562
Flechtheim, O.K. (1945). Teaching the future. Journal for Higher Education, 16(9), pp. 460-465. https://doi.org/10.1080/00221546.1945.11774322
Giacovelli, S. (2016). Changing markets, expected expectations and Popitz's objection. Przegląd Socjologiczny / Sociological Review, 65(4), 79.
Giesen, B. (2004). Noncontemporaneity, asynchronicity and divided memories. Time & Society, 13, 1. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X04040741
Glushchenko, V., Korotyaeva, I., Roman, V., Rudenko, M. (2024). The Sapir-Whorf hypothesis and the principle of linguistic relativity (linguohistoriographic aspect). [In Ukrainian]. Language, 41, 5-12. https://doi.org/10.18524/2307-4558.2024.41.311204
Guillan, A. (2014). Epistemological limits to scientific prediction: The problem of uncertainty. Open Journal of Philosophy, 4, 510-517. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojpp.2014.44053
Gurvitch, G. (1964). The Spectrum of Social Time. Dordrect-Holland: D.Reidel Publishing company.
Haapanen, L., Tapio, P. (2015). Economic growth as phenomenon, institution and ideology: A qualitative content analysis of the 21st century growth critique. Journal of Cleaner Production,112(4), 3492-3503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.10.024
Habermas, J. (1987). The Philosophical Discourse of Modernity: Twelve Lectures. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Hajikazemia, S., Ekambarama, A. , Andersenb, B., Zidaneb, Y. (2016 ). The Black Swan - knowing the unknown in projects. Social and Behavioral Sciences, 226, 184-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.06.178
Humboldt, W. (1999). On Language. On the Diversity of Human Language Construction and Its Influence on the Mental Development of the Human Species. Cambridge University Press.
Khalili, M. (2023). Reality as Persistence and Resistance. Perspectives on Science. 32, 2, 1-46. https://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00604
Kaboli, S.A., Tapio, P. (2018). How late-modern nomads imagine tomorrow? A Causal Layered Analysis practice to explore the images of the future of young adults. Futures, 96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.11.004
Kebuladze, V. (2004). "Structures of the life-world" at the intersection of transcendental phenomenology and phenomenological sociology. [In Ukrainian]. In: A. Shyuts, T. Lukman, Structures of the life-world, pp. 540-547. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury. Retrieved from: https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Shultz_Alfred/Struktury_zhyttiesvitu.pdf.
Koselleck, R. (1985). Futures past: on the semantics of historical time / Transl. by K. Tribe. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Retrieved from: https://voidnetwork.gr/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Futures-Past.-On-the-Semantics-of-historical-time-by-Reinhart-Koselleck.pdf
Koselleck, R. (1995). "Erfahrungsraum" und "Erwartungshorizont" - zwei historische Kategorien. In: R. Koselleck, Vergangene Zukunft. Zur Semantik geschichtlicher Zeiten. Frankfurt am Mein: Suhrkamp.
Lalot, F., Ahvenharju, S., Uusitalo, O. (2024). Green dreams are made of this: Futures consciousness and proenvironmental engagement. British Journal of Social Psychology, 64(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjso.12799
Liatoshynskyi, B. (1996). Letter to V. Poliovoi, January 23, 1965. In: Letters of B. Liatoshynskyi to V. Poliovoi. [In Ukrainian]. Muzyka,1, 24.
Miller, R. (2007). Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method. Futures, 39, 341-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2006.12.001
Livingstone, D.W., Lake, D.G. (1977). Preferred images of the future. Journal of Education, 12(001), 95-110. Retrieved from: https://mcgill.ca/article/view/7130/5069
Morgan, D.R. (2002). Images of the future: A historical perspective. Futures, 34(9), 883-893. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00007-1
Polak, F.L. (1961). The Image of the Future: Enlightening the Past, Orienting the Present, Forecasting the Future, Vol. 1: The Promised Land, Source of Living Culture; Vol. 2: Iconoclasm of the Images of the Future, Demolition of Culture (рp. 456; 376). New York: Oceana Publications under the auspices of the Council of Europe.
Ovsianiko-Kulikovskyi, D.N. (1909). Horizons of the future and facets of the past. [In Russian]. In: Collected Works. Vol. 6. Psychology of Thought and Feeling. Artistic Creativity. Fundamentals of Vedaism, (pp. 153-170). St. Petersburg: Obshchestvennaia Polza; Prometei.
Pylypenko, V., Smakota, V. (2024). Sociological forecasting: features of study and nowadays problems. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: theory, methods, marketing, 2, 163-177.
Rescher, N. (1998). Predicting the future: an introduction to the theory of forecasting. State University of New York Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/predictingfuture0000resc/page/n1/mode/2up
Rubin, A. (1998). Giving Images a Chance: Images of the Future as a Tool for Sociology. American Behavioral Scientist, 42(3), 93-94. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764298042003021
Saint Augustine (1999). Confession. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Osnovy. https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Augustinus_Aurelius/Spovid.pdf?PHPSESSID=koor50ibofjmldor2v9tj93k72
Sande, Ö. (1972). Future consciousness. Journal of Peace Research, 9(3), 271-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/002234337200900307
Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight - what's in a name? Futures. 42(3), 177-184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001
Shackle, G.L.S. (1979). Imagination and the Nature of Choice. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/imaginationnatur0000shac
Shulga, M. (2023). Faces of the phenomenon of expectations. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing, 2, 28-64. https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2023.02.028
Seligman, M.E., Railton, P., Baumeister, R.F., Sripada, C. (2016). Homo prospectus. Oxford University Press.
Schutz, A. (1945). On multiple realities. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 4, 539. https://doi.org/10.2307/2102818
Schutz, A., Lukman, T. (2004). Structures of the Lifeworld. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury.
Sorokin, P., Merton, R. (1990). Social time: A methodological and functional analysis. The Sociology of Time / Ed. by J. Hassard. New York: St. Martin's Press. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20869-2_5
Swain, R. (2017). A critical analysis of the sustainable development goals. In: Handbook of Sustainability Science and Research (pp. 341-355). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63007-6_20
Taleb, N.N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly improbably. Random House Publishing Group.
Taylor, Ch.A. (2007). Secular Age. Cambridge, MA; London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.
Torre, R.R. (2007). Time's Social Metaphors. Time & Society, 16(2-3), 157-187. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X07080262
Tutton, R. (2022). The sociology of futurelessness. Sociology, 57, 2, pp. 263-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385231157586
Urry, J. (2007). Mobilities. Polity.
Werther, G. (2013). When Black Swans aren't: On better recognition, assessment, and forecasting of large scale, large impact, and rare event change. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 16(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.12000
Witte, E.H. (2002). Erwartung. In: G. Endruweit, G. Trommsdorff (Eds.), Wörterbuch der Soziologie. UVK Verlag. Retrieved from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/270876534_Worterbuch_der_Soziologie
Wucker, M. (2016). The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore. St. Martin's Press.
Received 05.12.2024
Imaginations and expectations in images of the future
stmm. 2025 (1): 105-138
DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.01.105
Full text:
MYKOLA SHULGA, Corresponding member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor, Principal Research Fellow at the Department of Social Psychology, Institute of Sociology, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (12, Shovkovychna St., Kyiv, 01021)
chebrec@gmail.com
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7763-7195
Without understanding what time is, what its types are, it is impossible to understand our expectations about the future. Therefore, first of all, the article considers time as a specific phenomenon, discusses the idea of the future time, and also examines the features of future social time, in particular the future in the future, the future in the present and the future in the past. The ideas of what will be ahead take the form of images of the future. It is analyzed what images of the future are by the level of reliability, by the generalized content of possible events, by the time horizon. The fundamental differences between images of the distant and near future are considered. It is shown that the main elements of images of the distant future are imaginations, and images of the near future are expectations.
Keywords: time, social time, future, images of the future, scenarios, narratives, predictions, forecasts, experience, expectations, imaginations
References
Ahvenharjua, S., Minkkinena, M., Lalotb, F. (2018). The five dimensions of futures consciousness. Futures, 104, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.06.010
Anguera, C., Santisteban, A. (2016). images of the future: perspectives of students from Barcelona. Journal of Futures Studies, 21(1), 1-18.
Anderson, B. (2001). Imagined Communities. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: KRYTYKA.
Appadurai, A., Marco, A., Sassatelli, R. (2013). The future as cultural fact: Essays on the global condition. Rassegna Italiana di Sociologia, 54(4), 651-673.
Augustine, G., Soderstrom, S., Milner, D., Weber, K. (2019). constructing a distant future: Imaginaries in geoengineering. Academy of Management Journal. 62, 6. https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2018.0059
Baumeister, R.F., Hofmann, W., Summerville, A., Reiss, P.T., Vohs, K.D. (2020). Everyday thoughts about the past, present, and future: Experience sampling studies of mental time travel. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 46 (12), 1631-1648. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167220908411
Bazzani, G. (2022). Futures in action: Expectations, imaginaries and narratives of the future. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221138010
Beckert, J. (2013). Imagined futures: Fictional expectations in the economy. Theory and Society, 42(3), 219-240. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/43694686 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11186-013-9191-2
Berger, P.L., Luckmann, T. (1966). The Social Construction of Reality. A Treatise on sociology of Knowledge. Penguin Books.
Bertilsson, M. (2002). The rebirth of nature: implications for the category social. [In Russian]. Sotsiologicheskie Issledovania, 9, 130.
Braudel, F. (1994). A History of Civilizations. Viking Adult.
Brown, N., Michael, M. (2003). A Sociology of expectations: Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management,15(1), 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0953732032000046024
Bootz, J.-P. (2010). Strategic foresight and organizational learning: A survey and critical analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1588-1594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.015
Criticism of the Concept of Sustainable Development. Retrieved from: http://planetaryproject.com/planet_project/critical/
Crow, G., McKie, L., Scott, J. (2023). Historical Perspectives on British Sociology's Future: An Interview with John Scott. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221107490
Cruz, F. (2024). Comment: The failure of the sustainable development goals. Retrieved from: https://www.globalsociety.earth/post/comment-the-failure-of-the-sustainable-development-goals
Dator, J. (2014). Four images of the future. Set: Research Information for Teachers, 1, 61-63. https://doi.org/10.18296/set.0319
Delanty, G. (2021). Futures of sustainability: Perspectives on social imaginaries and social transformation. A comment on Frank Adloff and Sighard Neckel's research program. Social Science Information, 60(2), 285-294. https://doi.org/10.1177/0539018421999562
Flechtheim, O.K. (1945). Teaching the future. Journal for Higher Education, 16(9), pp. 460-465. https://doi.org/10.1080/00221546.1945.11774322
Giacovelli, S. (2016). Changing markets, expected expectations and Popitz's objection. Przegląd Socjologiczny / Sociological Review, 65(4), 79.
Giesen, B. (2004). Noncontemporaneity, asynchronicity and divided memories. Time & Society, 13, 1. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X04040741
Glushchenko, V., Korotyaeva, I., Roman, V., Rudenko, M. (2024). The Sapir-Whorf hypothesis and the principle of linguistic relativity (linguohistoriographic aspect). [In Ukrainian]. Language, 41, 5-12. https://doi.org/10.18524/2307-4558.2024.41.311204
Guillan, A. (2014). Epistemological limits to scientific prediction: The problem of uncertainty. Open Journal of Philosophy, 4, 510-517. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojpp.2014.44053
Gurvitch, G. (1964). The Spectrum of Social Time. Dordrect-Holland: D.Reidel Publishing company.
Haapanen, L., Tapio, P. (2015). Economic growth as phenomenon, institution and ideology: A qualitative content analysis of the 21st century growth critique. Journal of Cleaner Production,112(4), 3492-3503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.10.024
Habermas, J. (1987). The Philosophical Discourse of Modernity: Twelve Lectures. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Hajikazemia, S., Ekambarama, A. , Andersenb, B., Zidaneb, Y. (2016 ). The Black Swan - knowing the unknown in projects. Social and Behavioral Sciences, 226, 184-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.06.178
Humboldt, W. (1999). On Language. On the Diversity of Human Language Construction and Its Influence on the Mental Development of the Human Species. Cambridge University Press.
Khalili, M. (2023). Reality as Persistence and Resistance. Perspectives on Science. 32, 2, 1-46. https://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00604
Kaboli, S.A., Tapio, P. (2018). How late-modern nomads imagine tomorrow? A Causal Layered Analysis practice to explore the images of the future of young adults. Futures, 96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.11.004
Kebuladze, V. (2004). "Structures of the life-world" at the intersection of transcendental phenomenology and phenomenological sociology. [In Ukrainian]. In: A. Shyuts, T. Lukman, Structures of the life-world, pp. 540-547. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury. Retrieved from: https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Shultz_Alfred/Struktury_zhyttiesvitu.pdf.
Koselleck, R. (1985). Futures past: on the semantics of historical time / Transl. by K. Tribe. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Retrieved from: https://voidnetwork.gr/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Futures-Past.-On-the-Semantics-of-historical-time-by-Reinhart-Koselleck.pdf
Koselleck, R. (1995). "Erfahrungsraum" und "Erwartungshorizont" - zwei historische Kategorien. In: R. Koselleck, Vergangene Zukunft. Zur Semantik geschichtlicher Zeiten. Frankfurt am Mein: Suhrkamp.
Lalot, F., Ahvenharju, S., Uusitalo, O. (2024). Green dreams are made of this: Futures consciousness and proenvironmental engagement. British Journal of Social Psychology, 64(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjso.12799
Liatoshynskyi, B. (1996). Letter to V. Poliovoi, January 23, 1965. In: Letters of B. Liatoshynskyi to V. Poliovoi. [In Ukrainian]. Muzyka,1, 24.
Miller, R. (2007). Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method. Futures, 39, 341-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2006.12.001
Livingstone, D.W., Lake, D.G. (1977). Preferred images of the future. Journal of Education, 12(001), 95-110. Retrieved from: https://mcgill.ca/article/view/7130/5069
Morgan, D.R. (2002). Images of the future: A historical perspective. Futures, 34(9), 883-893. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00007-1
Polak, F.L. (1961). The Image of the Future: Enlightening the Past, Orienting the Present, Forecasting the Future, Vol. 1: The Promised Land, Source of Living Culture; Vol. 2: Iconoclasm of the Images of the Future, Demolition of Culture (рp. 456; 376). New York: Oceana Publications under the auspices of the Council of Europe.
Ovsianiko-Kulikovskyi, D.N. (1909). Horizons of the future and facets of the past. [In Russian]. In: Collected Works. Vol. 6. Psychology of Thought and Feeling. Artistic Creativity. Fundamentals of Vedaism, (pp. 153-170). St. Petersburg: Obshchestvennaia Polza; Prometei.
Pylypenko, V., Smakota, V. (2024). Sociological forecasting: features of study and nowadays problems. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: theory, methods, marketing, 2, 163-177.
Rescher, N. (1998). Predicting the future: an introduction to the theory of forecasting. State University of New York Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/predictingfuture0000resc/page/n1/mode/2up
Rubin, A. (1998). Giving Images a Chance: Images of the Future as a Tool for Sociology. American Behavioral Scientist, 42(3), 93-94. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764298042003021
Saint Augustine (1999). Confession. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Osnovy. https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Augustinus_Aurelius/Spovid.pdf?PHPSESSID=koor50ibofjmldor2v9tj93k72
Sande, Ö. (1972). Future consciousness. Journal of Peace Research, 9(3), 271-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/002234337200900307
Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight - what's in a name? Futures. 42(3), 177-184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001
Shackle, G.L.S. (1979). Imagination and the Nature of Choice. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/imaginationnatur0000shac
Shulga, M. (2023). Faces of the phenomenon of expectations. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing, 2, 28-64. https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2023.02.028
Seligman, M.E., Railton, P., Baumeister, R.F., Sripada, C. (2016). Homo prospectus. Oxford University Press.
Schutz, A. (1945). On multiple realities. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 4, 539. https://doi.org/10.2307/2102818
Schutz, A., Lukman, T. (2004). Structures of the Lifeworld. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury.
Sorokin, P., Merton, R. (1990). Social time: A methodological and functional analysis. The Sociology of Time / Ed. by J. Hassard. New York: St. Martin's Press. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20869-2_5
Swain, R. (2017). A critical analysis of the sustainable development goals. In: Handbook of Sustainability Science and Research (pp. 341-355). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63007-6_20
Taleb, N.N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly improbably. Random House Publishing Group.
Taylor, Ch.A. (2007). Secular Age. Cambridge, MA; London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.
Torre, R.R. (2007). Time's Social Metaphors. Time & Society, 16(2-3), 157-187. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X07080262
Tutton, R. (2022). The sociology of futurelessness. Sociology, 57, 2, pp. 263-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385231157586
Urry, J. (2007). Mobilities. Polity.
Werther, G. (2013). When Black Swans aren't: On better recognition, assessment, and forecasting of large scale, large impact, and rare event change. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 16(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.12000
Witte, E.H. (2002). Erwartung. In: G. Endruweit, G. Trommsdorff (Eds.), Wörterbuch der Soziologie. UVK Verlag. Retrieved from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/270876534_Worterbuch_der_Soziologie
Wucker, M. (2016). The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore. St. Martin's Press.
Received 05.12.2024