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Imaginations and expectations in images of the future

stmm. 2025 (1): 105-138

DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.01.105

Full text:

MYKOLA SHULGA, Corresponding member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor, Principal Research Fellow at the Department of Social Psychology, Institute of Sociology, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (12, Shovkovychna St., Kyiv, 01021)

chebrec@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7763-7195

Without understanding what time is, what its types are, it is impossible to understand our expectations about the future. Therefore, first of all, the article considers time as a specific phenomenon, discusses the idea of the future time, and also examines the features of future social time, in particular the future in the future, the future in the present and the future in the past. The ideas of what will be ahead take the form of images of the future. It is analyzed what images of the future are by the level of reliability, by the generalized content of possible events, by the time horizon. The fundamental differences between images of the distant and near future are considered. It is shown that the main elements of images of the distant future are imaginations, and images of the near future are expectations.

Keywords: time, social time, future, images of the future, scenarios, narratives, predictions, forecasts, experience, expectations, imaginations

References

  1. Ahvenharjua, S., Minkkinena, M., Lalotb, F. (2018). The five dimensions of futures consciousness. Futures, 104, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.06.010

  2. Anguera, C., Santisteban, A. (2016). images of the future: perspectives of students from Barcelona. Journal of Futures Studies, 21(1), 1-18.

  3. Anderson, B. (2001). Imagined Communities. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: KRYTYKA.

  4. Appadurai, A., Marco, A., Sassatelli, R. (2013). The future as cultural fact: Essays on the global condition. Rassegna Italiana di Sociologia, 54(4), 651-673.

  5. Augustine, G., Soderstrom, S., Milner, D., Weber, K. (2019). constructing a distant future: Imaginaries in geoengineering. Academy of Management Journal. 62, 6. https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2018.0059

  6. Baumeister, R.F., Hofmann, W., Summerville, A., Reiss, P.T., Vohs, K.D. (2020). Everyday thoughts about the past, present, and future: Experience sampling studies of mental time travel. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 46 (12), 1631-1648. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167220908411

  7. Bazzani, G. (2022). Futures in action: Expectations, imaginaries and narratives of the future. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221138010

  8. Beckert, J. (2013). Imagined futures: Fictional expectations in the economy. Theory and Society, 42(3), 219-240. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/43694686 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11186-013-9191-2

  9. Berger, P.L., Luckmann, T. (1966). The Social Construction of Reality. A Treatise on sociology of Knowledge. Penguin Books.

  10. Bertilsson, M. (2002). The rebirth of nature: implications for the category social. [In Russian]. Sotsiologicheskie Issledovania, 9, 130.

  11. Braudel, F. (1994). A History of Civilizations. Viking Adult.

  12. Brown, N., Michael, M. (2003). A Sociology of expectations: Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management,15(1), 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0953732032000046024

  13. Bootz, J.-P. (2010). Strategic foresight and organizational learning: A survey and critical analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1588-1594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.015

  14. Criticism of the Concept of Sustainable Development. Retrieved from: http://planetaryproject.com/planet_project/critical/

  15. Crow, G., McKie, L., Scott, J. (2023). Historical Perspectives on British Sociology's Future: An Interview with John Scott. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221107490

  16. Cruz, F. (2024). Comment: The failure of the sustainable development goals. Retrieved from: https://www.globalsociety.earth/post/comment-the-failure-of-the-sustainable-development-goals

  17. Dator, J. (2014). Four images of the future. Set: Research Information for Teachers, 1, 61-63. https://doi.org/10.18296/set.0319

  18. Delanty, G. (2021). Futures of sustainability: Perspectives on social imaginaries and social transformation. A comment on Frank Adloff and Sighard Neckel's research program. Social Science Information, 60(2), 285-294. https://doi.org/10.1177/0539018421999562

  19. Flechtheim, O.K. (1945). Teaching the future. Journal for Higher Education, 16(9), pp. 460-465. https://doi.org/10.1080/00221546.1945.11774322

  20. Giacovelli, S. (2016). Changing markets, expected expectations and Popitz's objection. Przegląd Socjologiczny / Sociological Review, 65(4), 79.

  21. Giesen, B. (2004). Noncontemporaneity, asynchronicity and divided memories. Time & Society, 13, 1. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X04040741

  22. Glushchenko, V., Korotyaeva, I., Roman, V., Rudenko, M. (2024). The Sapir-Whorf hypothesis and the principle of linguistic relativity (linguohistoriographic aspect). [In Ukrainian]. Language, 41, 5-12. https://doi.org/10.18524/2307-4558.2024.41.311204

  23. Guillan, A. (2014). Epistemological limits to scientific prediction: The problem of uncertainty. Open Journal of Philosophy, 4, 510-517. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojpp.2014.44053

  24. Gurvitch, G. (1964). The Spectrum of Social Time. Dordrect-Holland: D.Reidel Publishing company.

  25. Haapanen, L., Tapio, P. (2015). Economic growth as phenomenon, institution and ideology: A qualitative content analysis of the 21st century growth critique. Journal of Cleaner Production,112(4), 3492-3503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.10.024

  26. Habermas, J. (1987). The Philosophical Discourse of Modernity: Twelve Lectures. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

  27. Hajikazemia, S., Ekambarama, A. , Andersenb, B., Zidaneb, Y. (2016 ). The Black Swan - knowing the unknown in projects. Social and Behavioral Sciences, 226, 184-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.06.178

  28. Humboldt, W. (1999). On Language. On the Diversity of Human Language Construction and Its Influence on the Mental Development of the Human Species. Cambridge University Press.

  29. Khalili, M. (2023). Reality as Persistence and Resistance. Perspectives on Science. 32, 2, 1-46. https://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00604

  30. Kaboli, S.A., Tapio, P. (2018). How late-modern nomads imagine tomorrow? A Causal Layered Analysis practice to explore the images of the future of young adults. Futures, 96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.11.004

  31. Kebuladze, V. (2004). "Structures of the life-world" at the intersection of transcendental phenomenology and phenomenological sociology. [In Ukrainian]. In: A. Shyuts, T. Lukman, Structures of the life-world, pp. 540-547. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury. Retrieved from: https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Shultz_Alfred/Struktury_zhyttiesvitu.pdf.

  32. Koselleck, R. (1985). Futures past: on the semantics of historical time / Transl. by K. Tribe. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Retrieved from: https://voidnetwork.gr/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Futures-Past.-On-the-Semantics-of-historical-time-by-Reinhart-Koselleck.pdf

  33. Koselleck, R. (1995). "Erfahrungsraum" und "Erwartungshorizont" - zwei historische Kategorien. In: R. Koselleck, Vergangene Zukunft. Zur Semantik geschichtlicher Zeiten. Frankfurt am Mein: Suhrkamp.

  34. Lalot, F., Ahvenharju, S., Uusitalo, O. (2024). Green dreams are made of this: Futures consciousness and proenvironmental engagement. British Journal of Social Psychology, 64(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjso.12799

  35. Liatoshynskyi, B. (1996). Letter to V. Poliovoi, January 23, 1965. In: Letters of B. Liatoshynskyi to V. Poliovoi. [In Ukrainian]. Muzyka,1, 24.

  36. Miller, R. (2007). Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method. Futures, 39, 341-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2006.12.001

  37. Livingstone, D.W., Lake, D.G. (1977). Preferred images of the future. Journal of Education, 12(001), 95-110. Retrieved from: https://mcgill.ca/article/view/7130/5069

  38. Morgan, D.R. (2002). Images of the future: A historical perspective. Futures, 34(9), 883-893. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00007-1

  39. Polak, F.L. (1961). The Image of the Future: Enlightening the Past, Orienting the Present, Forecasting the Future, Vol. 1: The Promised Land, Source of Living Culture; Vol. 2: Iconoclasm of the Images of the Future, Demolition of Culture (рp. 456; 376). New York: Oceana Publications under the auspices of the Council of Europe.

  40. Ovsianiko-Kulikovskyi, D.N. (1909). Horizons of the future and facets of the past. [In Russian]. In: Collected Works. Vol. 6. Psychology of Thought and Feeling. Artistic Creativity. Fundamentals of Vedaism, (pp. 153-170). St. Petersburg: Obshchestvennaia Polza; Prometei.

  41. Pylypenko, V., Smakota, V. (2024). Sociological forecasting: features of study and nowadays problems. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: theory, methods, marketing, 2, 163-177.

  42. Rescher, N. (1998). Predicting the future: an introduction to the theory of forecasting. State University of New York Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/predictingfuture0000resc/page/n1/mode/2up

  43. Rubin, A. (1998). Giving Images a Chance: Images of the Future as a Tool for Sociology. American Behavioral Scientist, 42(3), 93-94. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764298042003021

  44. Saint Augustine (1999). Confession. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Osnovy. https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Augustinus_Aurelius/Spovid.pdf?PHPSESSID=koor50ibofjmldor2v9tj93k72

  45. Sande, Ö. (1972). Future consciousness. Journal of Peace Research, 9(3), 271-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/002234337200900307

  46. Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight - what's in a name? Futures. 42(3), 177-184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001

  47. Shackle, G.L.S. (1979). Imagination and the Nature of Choice. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/imaginationnatur0000shac

  48. Shulga, M. (2023). Faces of the phenomenon of expectations. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing, 2, 28-64. https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2023.02.028

  49. Seligman, M.E., Railton, P., Baumeister, R.F., Sripada, C. (2016). Homo prospectus. Oxford University Press.

  50. Schutz, A. (1945). On multiple realities. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 4, 539. https://doi.org/10.2307/2102818

  51. Schutz, A., Lukman, T. (2004). Structures of the Lifeworld. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury.

  52. Sorokin, P., Merton, R. (1990). Social time: A methodological and functional analysis. The Sociology of Time / Ed. by J. Hassard. New York: St. Martin's Press. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20869-2_5

  53. Swain, R. (2017). A critical analysis of the sustainable development goals. In: Handbook of Sustainability Science and Research (pp. 341-355). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63007-6_20

  54. Taleb, N.N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly improbably. Random House Publishing Group.

  55. Taylor, Ch.A. (2007). Secular Age. Cambridge, MA; London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.

  56. Torre, R.R. (2007). Time's Social Metaphors. Time & Society, 16(2-3), 157-187. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X07080262

  57. Tutton, R. (2022). The sociology of futurelessness. Sociology, 57, 2, pp. 263-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385231157586

  58. Urry, J. (2007). Mobilities. Polity.

  59. Werther, G. (2013). When Black Swans aren't: On better recognition, assessment, and forecasting of large scale, large impact, and rare event change. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 16(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.12000

  60. Witte, E.H. (2002). Erwartung. In: G. Endruweit, G. Trommsdorff (Eds.), Wörterbuch der Soziologie. UVK Verlag. Retrieved from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/270876534_Worterbuch_der_Soziologie

  61. Wucker, M. (2016). The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore. St. Martin's Press.

  62. Zang, Sh., Sun, M., Wang, Q., Wang, H., Tian, Sh. (2024).Windows of opportunity, strategic cognition and enterprise digital transformation. Chinese Management Studies. https://doi.org/10.1108/CMS-09-2023-0489

Received 05.12.2024

Imaginations and expectations in images of the future

stmm. 2025 (1): 105-138

DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.01.105

Full text:

MYKOLA SHULGA, Corresponding member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor, Principal Research Fellow at the Department of Social Psychology, Institute of Sociology, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (12, Shovkovychna St., Kyiv, 01021)

chebrec@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7763-7195

Without understanding what time is, what its types are, it is impossible to understand our expectations about the future. Therefore, first of all, the article considers time as a specific phenomenon, discusses the idea of the future time, and also examines the features of future social time, in particular the future in the future, the future in the present and the future in the past. The ideas of what will be ahead take the form of images of the future. It is analyzed what images of the future are by the level of reliability, by the generalized content of possible events, by the time horizon. The fundamental differences between images of the distant and near future are considered. It is shown that the main elements of images of the distant future are imaginations, and images of the near future are expectations.

Keywords: time, social time, future, images of the future, scenarios, narratives, predictions, forecasts, experience, expectations, imaginations

References

  1. Ahvenharjua, S., Minkkinena, M., Lalotb, F. (2018). The five dimensions of futures consciousness. Futures, 104, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.06.010

  2. Anguera, C., Santisteban, A. (2016). images of the future: perspectives of students from Barcelona. Journal of Futures Studies, 21(1), 1-18.

  3. Anderson, B. (2001). Imagined Communities. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: KRYTYKA.

  4. Appadurai, A., Marco, A., Sassatelli, R. (2013). The future as cultural fact: Essays on the global condition. Rassegna Italiana di Sociologia, 54(4), 651-673.

  5. Augustine, G., Soderstrom, S., Milner, D., Weber, K. (2019). constructing a distant future: Imaginaries in geoengineering. Academy of Management Journal. 62, 6. https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2018.0059

  6. Baumeister, R.F., Hofmann, W., Summerville, A., Reiss, P.T., Vohs, K.D. (2020). Everyday thoughts about the past, present, and future: Experience sampling studies of mental time travel. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 46 (12), 1631-1648. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167220908411

  7. Bazzani, G. (2022). Futures in action: Expectations, imaginaries and narratives of the future. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221138010

  8. Beckert, J. (2013). Imagined futures: Fictional expectations in the economy. Theory and Society, 42(3), 219-240. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/43694686 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11186-013-9191-2

  9. Berger, P.L., Luckmann, T. (1966). The Social Construction of Reality. A Treatise on sociology of Knowledge. Penguin Books.

  10. Bertilsson, M. (2002). The rebirth of nature: implications for the category social. [In Russian]. Sotsiologicheskie Issledovania, 9, 130.

  11. Braudel, F. (1994). A History of Civilizations. Viking Adult.

  12. Brown, N., Michael, M. (2003). A Sociology of expectations: Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management,15(1), 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0953732032000046024

  13. Bootz, J.-P. (2010). Strategic foresight and organizational learning: A survey and critical analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1588-1594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.015

  14. Criticism of the Concept of Sustainable Development. Retrieved from: http://planetaryproject.com/planet_project/critical/

  15. Crow, G., McKie, L., Scott, J. (2023). Historical Perspectives on British Sociology's Future: An Interview with John Scott. Sociology, 57, 2. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385221107490

  16. Cruz, F. (2024). Comment: The failure of the sustainable development goals. Retrieved from: https://www.globalsociety.earth/post/comment-the-failure-of-the-sustainable-development-goals

  17. Dator, J. (2014). Four images of the future. Set: Research Information for Teachers, 1, 61-63. https://doi.org/10.18296/set.0319

  18. Delanty, G. (2021). Futures of sustainability: Perspectives on social imaginaries and social transformation. A comment on Frank Adloff and Sighard Neckel's research program. Social Science Information, 60(2), 285-294. https://doi.org/10.1177/0539018421999562

  19. Flechtheim, O.K. (1945). Teaching the future. Journal for Higher Education, 16(9), pp. 460-465. https://doi.org/10.1080/00221546.1945.11774322

  20. Giacovelli, S. (2016). Changing markets, expected expectations and Popitz's objection. Przegląd Socjologiczny / Sociological Review, 65(4), 79.

  21. Giesen, B. (2004). Noncontemporaneity, asynchronicity and divided memories. Time & Society, 13, 1. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X04040741

  22. Glushchenko, V., Korotyaeva, I., Roman, V., Rudenko, M. (2024). The Sapir-Whorf hypothesis and the principle of linguistic relativity (linguohistoriographic aspect). [In Ukrainian]. Language, 41, 5-12. https://doi.org/10.18524/2307-4558.2024.41.311204

  23. Guillan, A. (2014). Epistemological limits to scientific prediction: The problem of uncertainty. Open Journal of Philosophy, 4, 510-517. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojpp.2014.44053

  24. Gurvitch, G. (1964). The Spectrum of Social Time. Dordrect-Holland: D.Reidel Publishing company.

  25. Haapanen, L., Tapio, P. (2015). Economic growth as phenomenon, institution and ideology: A qualitative content analysis of the 21st century growth critique. Journal of Cleaner Production,112(4), 3492-3503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.10.024

  26. Habermas, J. (1987). The Philosophical Discourse of Modernity: Twelve Lectures. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

  27. Hajikazemia, S., Ekambarama, A. , Andersenb, B., Zidaneb, Y. (2016 ). The Black Swan - knowing the unknown in projects. Social and Behavioral Sciences, 226, 184-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.06.178

  28. Humboldt, W. (1999). On Language. On the Diversity of Human Language Construction and Its Influence on the Mental Development of the Human Species. Cambridge University Press.

  29. Khalili, M. (2023). Reality as Persistence and Resistance. Perspectives on Science. 32, 2, 1-46. https://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00604

  30. Kaboli, S.A., Tapio, P. (2018). How late-modern nomads imagine tomorrow? A Causal Layered Analysis practice to explore the images of the future of young adults. Futures, 96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.11.004

  31. Kebuladze, V. (2004). "Structures of the life-world" at the intersection of transcendental phenomenology and phenomenological sociology. [In Ukrainian]. In: A. Shyuts, T. Lukman, Structures of the life-world, pp. 540-547. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury. Retrieved from: https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Shultz_Alfred/Struktury_zhyttiesvitu.pdf.

  32. Koselleck, R. (1985). Futures past: on the semantics of historical time / Transl. by K. Tribe. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Retrieved from: https://voidnetwork.gr/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Futures-Past.-On-the-Semantics-of-historical-time-by-Reinhart-Koselleck.pdf

  33. Koselleck, R. (1995). "Erfahrungsraum" und "Erwartungshorizont" - zwei historische Kategorien. In: R. Koselleck, Vergangene Zukunft. Zur Semantik geschichtlicher Zeiten. Frankfurt am Mein: Suhrkamp.

  34. Lalot, F., Ahvenharju, S., Uusitalo, O. (2024). Green dreams are made of this: Futures consciousness and proenvironmental engagement. British Journal of Social Psychology, 64(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjso.12799

  35. Liatoshynskyi, B. (1996). Letter to V. Poliovoi, January 23, 1965. In: Letters of B. Liatoshynskyi to V. Poliovoi. [In Ukrainian]. Muzyka,1, 24.

  36. Miller, R. (2007). Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method. Futures, 39, 341-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2006.12.001

  37. Livingstone, D.W., Lake, D.G. (1977). Preferred images of the future. Journal of Education, 12(001), 95-110. Retrieved from: https://mcgill.ca/article/view/7130/5069

  38. Morgan, D.R. (2002). Images of the future: A historical perspective. Futures, 34(9), 883-893. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00007-1

  39. Polak, F.L. (1961). The Image of the Future: Enlightening the Past, Orienting the Present, Forecasting the Future, Vol. 1: The Promised Land, Source of Living Culture; Vol. 2: Iconoclasm of the Images of the Future, Demolition of Culture (рp. 456; 376). New York: Oceana Publications under the auspices of the Council of Europe.

  40. Ovsianiko-Kulikovskyi, D.N. (1909). Horizons of the future and facets of the past. [In Russian]. In: Collected Works. Vol. 6. Psychology of Thought and Feeling. Artistic Creativity. Fundamentals of Vedaism, (pp. 153-170). St. Petersburg: Obshchestvennaia Polza; Prometei.

  41. Pylypenko, V., Smakota, V. (2024). Sociological forecasting: features of study and nowadays problems. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: theory, methods, marketing, 2, 163-177.

  42. Rescher, N. (1998). Predicting the future: an introduction to the theory of forecasting. State University of New York Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/predictingfuture0000resc/page/n1/mode/2up

  43. Rubin, A. (1998). Giving Images a Chance: Images of the Future as a Tool for Sociology. American Behavioral Scientist, 42(3), 93-94. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764298042003021

  44. Saint Augustine (1999). Confession. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Osnovy. https://shron1.chtyvo.org.ua/Augustinus_Aurelius/Spovid.pdf?PHPSESSID=koor50ibofjmldor2v9tj93k72

  45. Sande, Ö. (1972). Future consciousness. Journal of Peace Research, 9(3), 271-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/002234337200900307

  46. Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight - what's in a name? Futures. 42(3), 177-184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001

  47. Shackle, G.L.S. (1979). Imagination and the Nature of Choice. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press. Retrieved from: https://archive.org/details/imaginationnatur0000shac

  48. Shulga, M. (2023). Faces of the phenomenon of expectations. [In Ukrainian]. Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing, 2, 28-64. https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2023.02.028

  49. Seligman, M.E., Railton, P., Baumeister, R.F., Sripada, C. (2016). Homo prospectus. Oxford University Press.

  50. Schutz, A. (1945). On multiple realities. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 4, 539. https://doi.org/10.2307/2102818

  51. Schutz, A., Lukman, T. (2004). Structures of the Lifeworld. [In Ukrainian]. Kyiv: Ukrainskyi Tsentr Dukhovnoi Kultury.

  52. Sorokin, P., Merton, R. (1990). Social time: A methodological and functional analysis. The Sociology of Time / Ed. by J. Hassard. New York: St. Martin's Press. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20869-2_5

  53. Swain, R. (2017). A critical analysis of the sustainable development goals. In: Handbook of Sustainability Science and Research (pp. 341-355). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63007-6_20

  54. Taleb, N.N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly improbably. Random House Publishing Group.

  55. Taylor, Ch.A. (2007). Secular Age. Cambridge, MA; London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.

  56. Torre, R.R. (2007). Time's Social Metaphors. Time & Society, 16(2-3), 157-187. https://doi.org/10.1177/0961463X07080262

  57. Tutton, R. (2022). The sociology of futurelessness. Sociology, 57, 2, pp. 263-278. https://doi.org/10.1177/00380385231157586

  58. Urry, J. (2007). Mobilities. Polity.

  59. Werther, G. (2013). When Black Swans aren't: On better recognition, assessment, and forecasting of large scale, large impact, and rare event change. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 16(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.12000

  60. Witte, E.H. (2002). Erwartung. In: G. Endruweit, G. Trommsdorff (Eds.), Wörterbuch der Soziologie. UVK Verlag. Retrieved from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/270876534_Worterbuch_der_Soziologie

  61. Wucker, M. (2016). The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore. St. Martin's Press.

  62. Zang, Sh., Sun, M., Wang, Q., Wang, H., Tian, Sh. (2024).Windows of opportunity, strategic cognition and enterprise digital transformation. Chinese Management Studies. https://doi.org/10.1108/CMS-09-2023-0489

Received 05.12.2024

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