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Framing war: The evolution of the social perception of war in Ukraine

stmm. 2025 (2): 5-29

DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.02.005

Full text: https://stmm.in.ua/archive/ukr/2025-2/3.pdf

OLGA KUTSENKO, Einstein Research Professor at Chair for Work, Technology and Participation, Technical University Berlin (Room MAR 1.043, Marchstrasse, 23, D-10587 Berlin, Germany); Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor of Sociology at the Chair of Social Structures and Social Relations, Faculty of Sociology, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv (60, Volodymyrska St., Kyiv, Ukraine, 01033)

olga.kutsenko.ua28@gmail.com; olga.kutsenko@tu-berlin.de

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9921-0654

Scopus ID: 55824755400

This study analyzes the evolution of war perception in Ukrainian society from early 2022 to 2025, tracing its transformation through five distinct psychological and sociopolitical phases. Initially characterized by shock and mass mobilization, social perception evolved into adaptive euphoria, followed by realism about the prolonged nature of the war, war fatigue, and, finally, the routinization of emergency conditions and long-term resistance. The research draws on empirical data from leading Ukrainian sociological research centers to track shifts in public sentiment, strategic expectations, and national identity formation.

The findings reveal that Ukrainian society has demonstrated remarkable psychological adaptability, transitioning from an initial unity-driven response to a more pragmatic endurance mindset. The war has reshaped national identity, reinforcing democratic values, civic engagement, and Ukraine’s European orientation. Comparative analysis with historical defensive and long-term wars, including World War I, World War II, and the Vietnam War, highlights both universal patterns of war perception — such as the rally-around-the-flag effect, war fatigue, and national resilience — and the unique dynamics of a 21st-century conflict, shaped by globalized information flows, international aid, and the digital battlefield.

Despite these insights, significant research gaps remain, particularly regarding the role of digital media, comparative perspectives on non-Western conflicts, the long-term impact of war narratives on political culture, and intersectional differences in war perception. Addressing these gaps is crucial for understanding the sustainability of public support, resilience mechanisms, and pathways to conflict resolution in protracted wars. Ultimately, Ukraine’s experience offers valuable insights into the broader sociology of war perception, resilience, and long-term conflict adaptation.

Keywords: war perception; public war fatigue; routinization of emergency; social resistance; defensive war; Russo-Ukrainian war

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Received 09.03.2025

Framing war: The evolution of the social perception of war in Ukraine

stmm. 2025 (2): 5-29

DOI https://doi.org/10.15407/sociology2025.02.005

Full text: https://stmm.in.ua/archive/ukr/2025-2/3.pdf

OLGA KUTSENKO, Einstein Research Professor at Chair for Work, Technology and Participation, Technical University Berlin (Room MAR 1.043, Marchstrasse, 23, D-10587 Berlin, Germany); Doctor of Sciences in Sociology, Professor of Sociology at the Chair of Social Structures and Social Relations, Faculty of Sociology, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv (60, Volodymyrska St., Kyiv, Ukraine, 01033)

olga.kutsenko.ua28@gmail.com; olga.kutsenko@tu-berlin.de

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9921-0654

Scopus ID: 55824755400

This study analyzes the evolution of war perception in Ukrainian society from early 2022 to 2025, tracing its transformation through five distinct psychological and sociopolitical phases. Initially characterized by shock and mass mobilization, social perception evolved into adaptive euphoria, followed by realism about the prolonged nature of the war, war fatigue, and, finally, the routinization of emergency conditions and long-term resistance. The research draws on empirical data from leading Ukrainian sociological research centers to track shifts in public sentiment, strategic expectations, and national identity formation.

The findings reveal that Ukrainian society has demonstrated remarkable psychological adaptability, transitioning from an initial unity-driven response to a more pragmatic endurance mindset. The war has reshaped national identity, reinforcing democratic values, civic engagement, and Ukraine’s European orientation. Comparative analysis with historical defensive and long-term wars, including World War I, World War II, and the Vietnam War, highlights both universal patterns of war perception — such as the rally-around-the-flag effect, war fatigue, and national resilience — and the unique dynamics of a 21st-century conflict, shaped by globalized information flows, international aid, and the digital battlefield.

Despite these insights, significant research gaps remain, particularly regarding the role of digital media, comparative perspectives on non-Western conflicts, the long-term impact of war narratives on political culture, and intersectional differences in war perception. Addressing these gaps is crucial for understanding the sustainability of public support, resilience mechanisms, and pathways to conflict resolution in protracted wars. Ultimately, Ukraine’s experience offers valuable insights into the broader sociology of war perception, resilience, and long-term conflict adaptation.

Keywords: war perception; public war fatigue; routinization of emergency; social resistance; defensive war; Russo-Ukrainian war

References:

  1. Alexander, J. C. (2004). Cultural trauma and collective identity. University of California Press. https://doi.org/10.1525/california/9780520235946.001.0001

  2. Antipovich, O. (2025). How Ukrainians' attitude towards mobilization changed in 2024. New Voice, January 2, 2025. [In Ukrainian]. https://nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/events/yak-u-2024-roci-zminilos-stavlennya-ukrajinciv-do-mobilizaciji-novini-ukrajini-50478295.html

  3. Applebaum, A. (2017). Red Famine: Stalin's War on Ukraine. Penguin Books.

  4. Balakireva, O., & Dmytruk, D. (2022). The war in Ukraine: Population perception and its impact on quality of life. [In Ukrainian]. Ukrainskyi Sotsium, 1(80), 116-122. https://doi.org/10.15407/socium2022.01.116

  5. Bar-Tal, D., Halperin, E., & de Rivera, J. (2007). Collective emotions in conflict situations: Societal implications. Journal of Social Issues, 63(2), 441-460. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-4560.2007.00518.x

  6. Baum, M.A. & Potter, P.B. (2008). War and democratic constraint: How the public influences foreign policy. Princeton University Press.

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Received 09.03.2025

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